Looking back at July, the overall net inflow of northbound funds was 12.25 billion yuan, which became a major fund that cannot be ignored. Under the background of a large increase in northbound capital, the concentration of chips in several stocks has increased rapidly, indicating that foreign capital has collected a large number of scattered chips from the secondary market.
crack the anti-fall password! These individual stock institutions and northbound funds are adding positions, and their chips are obviously concentrated
A shares fluctuate and adjust, but the main funds are busy changing positions and changing shares, and the chip concentration of some stocks changes greatly.
Choice data shows that among the comparable 223 listed companies, the number of shareholders in 136 companies decreased at the end of July compared with the end of June, accounting for more than 6%. Among them, the number of shareholders in 4 companies fell by more than 5%.
From the change of the number of shareholders, the distribution of the above 4 companies is a little messy, and the average increase is almost the same as the market index.
However, if other indicators such as northbound capital and financial data are combined, some of the strong varieties will emerge.
Take two indicators: the number of shareholders decreased by more than 5% in July, and the proportion of shares held (circulated) by northbound funds increased by more than .5 percentage point. There are six stocks that meet the above two conditions at the same time, namely Opcom, Huichuan Technology, Jidong Cement, Desai Siwei, Hongqi Chain and Zhejiang Medicine.
The concentration of Huichuan technology chips, the leader in industrial control industry, has also increased significantly. At the end of July, the number of shareholders was 28,276, a decrease of 6.99% compared with the end of June. As a traditional heavyweight stock of northbound capital, Huichuan Technology was heavily increased by northbound capital in the same period, and the shareholding ratio of Shenzhen Stock Connect increased from 6.87% to 8.21%, adding 1.34 percentage points.
In addition to Opcon and Huichuan technologies, Desai Siwei, which also meets the requirements, has seen its share price rise by 13% since July.
during the intensive disclosure period of semi-annual report, the certainty of listed companies' performance is also the focus of main fund consideration. Among the companies whose chip concentration increased significantly in July, a number of them first disclosed the pre-announcement of the semi-annual report.
according to the two indicators that the number of shareholders decreased by more than 5% in July and the company disclosed the semi-annual pre-happiness announcement in July, there are 15 stocks that meet the above two conditions at the same time. These 15 stocks have risen by an average of 1.15% since July, significantly outperforming the three major stock indexes in the same period.
at the end of July, the number of shareholders of Shangfeng Cement was 41,34, which was 21.46% lower than that of 52,588 at the end of June. The company released its performance forecast on July 15th, and it is estimated that the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies in the first half of the year will be 91 million yuan to 1.1 billion yuan, up by 8% to 1% year-on-year.
the number of shareholders of zhilai technology at the end of July was 16,722, which was 11.11% less than that at the end of June. The company's performance forecast shows that the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies is expected to reach 124 million yuan to 143 million yuan in the first half of the year, up 35% to 55% year-on-year.
China-Singapore Secco, Hongqi Chain, Opcom and FeiRong Da all announced their pre-increased performance in July, and the concentration of chips in that month was significantly improved. (China Securities Network)
What does northbound capital smell? These stocks have been significantly increased against the trend
From the inflow situation in the past July, the northbound funds showed a pattern of deep strength and weak Shanghai, and the net inflow of Shenzhen Stock Connect channel was 8 times that of Shanghai Stock Connect.
according to the single-day data, the northbound capital also experienced a net outflow of Shanghai Stock Connect and a net inflow of Shenzhen Stock Connect many times in July. On July 15th, the net outflow of Shanghai Stock Connect was 1.939 billion yuan, while the net inflow of Shenzhen Stock Connect was 811 million yuan. On July 29th, the net outflow of Shanghai Stock Connect was 1.37 billion yuan, while the net inflow of Shenzhen Stock Connect was 1.689 billion yuan.
In terms of individual stocks, the reduction of White Horse shares by northbound funds in recent January is very obvious.
The data shows that in the past month, China Ping An was the most shipped by northbound funds, with a net sale of 2.242 billion yuan. Kweichow Moutai was also sold for 2.212 billion yuan. From July 1 ST to 3 th, northbound funds sold about 2 million shares of Kweichow Moutai, and the shareholding ratio decreased by .16 percentage points.
Hikvision also sold more than 2 billion yuan. In the 13 trading days from July 2 to July 18, northbound funds sold Hikvision sharply, with only a small net purchase on July 1, and most of the net outflows in the remaining 12 trading days exceeded 1 million yuan. On July 22, northbound capital bought Hikvision for 465 million yuan, followed by a net purchase for six consecutive days, and was sold again for 149 million yuan on July 31.
Dazu Laser, Wuliangye and Shanghai Airport were also sold for 1.654 billion yuan, 1.359 billion yuan and 1.218 billion yuan respectively.
At the same time, China Merchants Bank, Vanke A and China International Travel Service were favored by northbound funds, with net purchases of 1.843 billion yuan, 1.335 billion yuan and 1.11 billion yuan respectively. Midea Group, Wen's shares, Ping An Bank, Gree Electric and other stocks also had different degrees of net inflows in recent January.
in addition, it is worth mentioning that in the process of a large net outflow of northbound funds last Friday, the resource stocks were focused by northbound funds. From the perspective of the proportion of shares held in the tradable shares, rare earth and gold became the key buying targets of northbound funds. Among the top 2, Minmetals Rare Earth, Tianqi Lithium Industry, Shenghe Resources, Hengbang Shares, Chinalco International, Zhongjin Gold, Northern Rare Earth and Xiamen Tungsten Industry all belong to the resource stocks.
in the past five trading days, the shareholding ratios of Zhongji Xuchuang, Guanghuan New Network, Guangxun Technology, Aoshikang, Eton Electronics, Weishitong and Dahua Co., Ltd. were among the highest, mainly based on technology stocks.
Looking forward to the market outlook, many institutions agree that there will still be investment opportunities for short-term technology stocks. In addition, MSCI will further enhance the A-share inclusion factor in August, and some undervalued blue-chip stocks still have profit opportunities.
Dongxing Securities believes that in the short term, in the absence of mainline logic, certain areas such as 5G and self-control are expected to achieve excess returns, and the technology industry may dominate in stages. In the medium term, the focus of the mid-term market will still return to the fundamentals, and pay close attention to the changes in profitability of various sectors. In the second half of the year, the "six stable" work may be mentioned again, and policy easing will still bring new opportunities to the infrastructure industry chain.
Looking forward to the allocation thinking in August, Zhongtai Securities said that he can mainly focus on three directions:
First, during the intensive release period of the interim report in late August, the industries with positive changes in revenue may mainly focus on technology stocks, and Huawei's industrial chain still has upward momentum, and its short-term style may still be biased towards growth, focusing on the data of semiconductor and consumer electronics industries;
Second, if the macro-environment returns to the state of "wide currency and tight credit" in a short time, it is suggested to pay attention to high dividend varieties, especially the central enterprises with prefix, and the dividends of central enterprises may be an important source of funds for tax reduction and fee reduction;
Third, MSCI will further increase the A-share inclusion factor in August. For the blue-chip stocks with stagflation and low valuation in the previous period, it is still bullish, focusing on securities firms, banks and infrastructure blue-chip stocks. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to the new area of Shanghai Free Trade Zone and the reform of state-owned enterprises.
Southwest Securities believes that A shares will continue to fluctuate in the second half of the year, and growth stocks have comparative advantages, so investors need to seize the staged opportunities.
Cinda Securities pointed out that in the second quarter, northbound funds began to reduce some consumption white horses, and at the same time, with the declining valuation of technology stocks, the holding ratio of northbound funds continued to rise. From the medium and long-term perspective, the agency believes that some low-valued Baima technology stocks have obvious allocation value.
Xun Yugen, chief strategist of Haitong Securities, said that referring to overseas experience, foreign capital purchases core assets with regional characteristics, while the core assets of A shares are not only white horses for consumption. Foreign investors have bought finance, consumption and technology in A shares, and the most important thing is to look at performance. (CBN)
(Yunshuichang)
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